Bayes' theorem

cosmos 25th July 2018 at 2:23pm
Bayesian statistics
P(AB)=P(BA)P(A)P(B)P(A|B) = \frac{P(B | A) \, P(A)}{P(B)}

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R13BD8qKeTg

https://www.wikiwand.com/en/Bayes'_theorem

It was Laplace who popularized Baye's theorem

Example application

Problem of bias

What biases should be used for Induction?

First attempt: Principle of indifference. There is still a problem

Next step: Universal probability