Martingale

cosmos 29th May 2018 at 5:08pm
Probability theory Stochastic process

A martingale is a sequence of random variables X0,X1,,X_0,X_1,\ldots, of bounded expectation such that for every i0i\geq 0,

E[Xi+1X0,,Xi]=Xi. E[X_{i+1} \, | \, X_0,\ldots, X_i]=X_i.

More generally, a sequence of random variables Z0,Z1,Z_0,Z_1,\ldots is a martingale with respect to the sequence X0,X1,X_0,X_1,\ldots if for all n0n\geq 0 the following conditions hold:

ZnZ_n is a function of X0,,XnX_0,\ldots,X_n,

E[Zn]<E[|Z_n|]<\infty, E[Zn+1X0,,Xn]=ZnE[Z_{n+1} \,|\, X_0,\ldots, X_n]=Z_n.

See these notes

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martingale_(probability_theory)

Doob martingale

Azuma-Hoeffding inequality